INTRO
Hey there DTC operators & marketers.
In today’s edition, we’re looking at a segment of your database that most "experts" tell you to burn with fire: The Suppressed List.
We recently let Raleon’s behavioral AI loose on a brands’ manual suppression list… you know, that graveyard of profiles you "cleaned" because you were terrified of your open rates dropping below 40%.
The AI didn't see dead people. It saw active shoppers who were banging on the front door while you ignored them.
In prep for BFCM, I’m going to share what the AI found, and how you can use "dumb" (rules based) logic right now to find the same revenue without the fancy algorithms.
QUICK DETOUR
To quickly address the elephant in the room. I’ve gotten a flood of DMs asking: "Nathan, now that Raleon has been acquired, is the newsletter dead?"
The short answer: No.
The long answer: I’ve been traveling the last two weeks for Intuit Mailchimp (hence the radio silence), but I’m not going anywhere. This newsletter is my therapy. It's the personal sanctuary where I can complain about attribution windows in an ESP, or muse on which models are the best right now for marketing.
Your Suppressed "Dead" Email List is more active than your Hinge profile

One of the hottest topics related to segmentation with brands leading up to the holidays is manual list suppression. It makes sense given we’re currently living in a deliverability-infused world mixed with brands feeling like Klaviyo is bleeding you dry.
You spend a lot of money acquiring a customer, so to the extent you don’t have to pay for them again because they’re already in your list, that’s like free money. That’s also where list suppression comes in.
After lots of questions from operators about whether we could detect a profile that should be un-suppressed… we finally ran some tests. Turns out, we can predict them quite well.
We ran our behavioral models across a massive list of profiles manually suppressed based on engagement (leave anything suppressed based on bounces, spam complaints, etc. alone). If you’re not familiar with manual list suppression, these are people who didn't unsubscribe, but are often swept up in manual engagement suppression automations so many brands run.
I honestly wasn’t sure how we would do, but our AI found thousands of users showing high-intent signals like visiting the site, viewing collections, even searching for specific products, but receiving zero emails because they were in "ESP Jail."
Now, I know your first question: “But Nathan, I don’t have your AI because Raleon was acquired. So why are you telling me this?”
Because, dear operator, I put together a set of rules you can drop into Klaviyo or Mailchimp that don't need a neural network to find those hidden customers. You just need to reconsider your "never un-suppress anyone" rule.
Here are the 4 Segments to find profiles to un-suppress for your “Zombie Segment” today.
I took some of what we saw behaviorally work, and tried to create rule based segments that covered most of the low hanging fruit. You might have to adjust it a little to match how your Klaviyo it setup, so if it doesn’t straight copy & paste don’t panic.
And as always, with these segment suggestions, make sure you layer in your common rules like “allowed to receive marketing communication” and the like. I’m just covering how to hit those hidden behaviors.
1. The "Lost at Checkout" (Free Money)
These people were in the process of giving you money, but gave up. Because they are suppressed, they may not have even get your Abandoned Cart flow. They are probably wondering if you went out of business.
The Rule:
Is Suppressed= True ANDCheckout Started> 0 in last 30 days.The Action: Un-suppress immediately. Send a plain-text email: "Hey, saw you trying to check out. System glitched? Here's a link to your cart."
(Don't mention the suppression, though. It's awkward. Like me at my middle school dance awkward).
2. The "Holiday Ghost"
We see this every year. You cleaned your list in September to "warm up IPs," and accidentally cut off the guy who only buys gifts in December.
The Rule:
Is Suppressed= True ANDPlaced Order> 0 between 11/01/24 and 12/31/24 (Last Year).The Action: These aren't dead profiles; they are seasonal. Unsuppressed them before Black Friday or they will buy from a competitor who has worse hygiene but better timing. Pro tip: you can have one of these leading up to every major holiday.
3. The "Window Shopper"
The AI loves this group. They aren't buying yet, but they are lurking. They are the digital equivalent of someone pacing back and forth in front of your store window, thinking about what to purchase (In other words, what I do on 5 different watch brands’ sites monthly).
The Rule:
Is Suppressed= True ANDViewed Product> 0 in last 60 days or Viewed Collection > 0 in last 60 days or Visited Website >= 2 in the last 60 daysThe Action: You can definitely send them a warmup email. You could also use the "Popup Hack." Target a specific popup to this segment that says "Welcome Back: Unlock 10% Off." If they enter their email, you just got double opt-in (because remember, they never actually unsubscribed from your list).
4. The Loophole (Transactional Clickers)
Even suppressed users get Order Confirmations. If they are clicking those, they are alive.
The Rule:
Clicked Email> 0 in last 90 days AND Flow Name contains "Shipping" or "Confirmation".The Action: Honestly just un-suppress them and drop them into your normal flows. If they’re actively purchasing and you manually suppressed them at some point, these are easy reactivations. As if they never left.
A Strategy for Un-Suppression
If you find you have a large number of these (for instance, 5,000+ profiles):
You might want to consider not un-suppressing them all at once and then sending a big campaign blast. It could hurt your deliverability
Instead for optimal deliverability and results, I would consider dropping them either into a re-warming flow (a sequence of 2-3 emails sent to small batches) or at least send a single campaign to test against batch sizes of ~2k or so.
This is just an extra precaution to make sure that, while you’re seeing all the indications that it’s worth sending to them again, you don’t inadvertently spike unsubscribes. Again, with these tactics, you can absolutely email them. It just pays to be considerate of deliverability ahead of BFCM.
The Verdict: Using AI to Guide Rules for Un-Suppression
Our AI model predicted which of these users was showing us conversion and engagement like behaviors, saving us from un-suppressing the wrong profiles. But in the absence of AI, use the rules above. You’ll know it’s working based on the profile count of the segments you have.
What we’ve found is, depending on how aggressively you suppress, you may be sitting on a goldmine of people who know your brand, have visited recently, and are legally contactable. Don't let "best practices" cost you actual revenue.
This Week’s Rabbit Holes
The future of shopping agents isn’t what you think it is - an interesting piece arguing agentic shopping will be through super apps vs. agents shopping on our behalf
Intuit strikes a $100M deal with OpenAI - this is big for small businesses as it indicates more AI capabilities coming
MCP App UI’s - if you want some bedtime reading, this is it. LLM provides (like ChatGPT and Gemini) will begin allowing more apps into their “super app”
Raleon was acquired by Intuit Mailchimp - for those that may have missed it.
And that's it for this week's edition.
Make the most of all the profiles you have this holiday season. Leverage AI in an actually useful way to find those profiles, and most importantly - have a wonderful thanksgiving for those celebrating it.
Be on the lookout for next week’s email. I’ve got a killer Claude skill I’ll be sharing.
Have you been liking these more in-depth emails, or did you prefer a little higher level from before? I’ve been loving all the emails you all have been sending, so let me know!
